Market Watch: Looking Ahead

Jason Grabher-Meyer

12/19/2016 11:02:00 AM
 Comments

Welcome back, to another Monday edition of Market Watch.

Last week we saw overseas errata make a big impact on the secondary market here in the TCG. Rescue Cat and Brionac, Dragon of the Ice Barrier exploded into the Top 10, while Imperial Order took over, rocketing to the twelve dollar mark after languishing in binders for years.

Demand for those cards plummeted this week as they transitioned from opportunistic buys to expensive post-spike purchases, but the weekend saw some interesting shifts as competitors looked ahead to new releases.

As always, our Market Watch columns count down the Top 10 cards of the last four days by sales volume, which means the only thing we talk about are pure numbers: whichever ten cards sell the most copies in those four days, those are our Top 10 picks, regardless of rarity. Sometimes that means big price spikes on popular foils. But it can also mean trending commons and rares selling in the hundreds or thousands; cards that don't show big price increases, but can hint at big shifts in tournament play.

With the 2016 competitive season now over, a lot of the bestsellers from Friday to today seem to be responses to upcoming cards. Case in point…

#10: Blue-Eyes White Dragon

The Blue-Eyes White Dragon deck is playing second fiddle to Metalfoes, Frogs, and ABC-Dragon Buster these days, but the deck's continued to Top 32 the last few YCS tournaments, and it's still topping plenty of Regionals. We saw several Blue-Eyes related cards retake positions in the Top 10 this weekend, which may have been a function of the recent fan hype for the Yu-Gi-Oh!: The Dark Side of Dimensions movie finally confirmed to be hitting theatres January 27th, as well as the accompanying re-release of the Movie Pack, returning as Movie Pack Gold Edition on January 13th.

 Blue-Eyes White Dragon
$3.43
$1.47
$0.47
Blue-Eyes White Dragon71226
Set Structure Deck: Saga of Blue-Eyes White Dragon
Number SDBE-EN001
Level 8
Type Normal Monster
Monster Dragon
Attribute LIGHT 
A / D 3000 / 2500
Rarity Ultra Rare
Card Text

This legendary dragon is a powerful engine of destruction. Virtually invincible, very few have faced this awesome creature and lived to tell the tale.


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YugiohProducts 1st Edition - Near Mint 1 $0.47
great skate tcg Unlimited - Lightly Played 2 $0.50
Clarks Cards Unlimited - Near Mint 1 $0.54

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#9: Abyss Actor – Leading Lady

Once again, Abyss Actor – Leading Lady held onto a Top 10 spot, claiming Number 9.

We've seen a lot of the Abyss Actor cards trading off positions week to week, but Leading Lady's been one of the most consistent sellers of the bunch. Knocked out of the Top 10 last Friday by Abyss Actor – Funky Comedian, Abyss Script – Opening Ceremony, and Abyss Script – Fire Dragon's Lair, Leading Lady's now back on top, making a lot more sense given her place in the strategy.

It's really amazing how long the Abyss Actors' popularity has lasted. Despite very few notable tournament showings, enthusiasm for the theme is still high.

 Abyss Actor - Leading Lady
$4.50
$0.68
$0.25
Abyss Actor - Leading Lady125277
Set Destiny Soldiers
Number DESO-EN021
Level 4
Type Pendulum/Effect Monster
Monster Fiend
Attribute DARK 
A / D 1500 / 1000
Rarity Secret Rare
Card Text

Pendulum Effect : Once per turn, when you take battle damage from an opponent's attacking monster: You can activate 1 of these effects;
- That opponent's monster loses ATK equal to the battle damage you took (even if this card leaves the field).
- Add 1 face-up "Abyss Actor" Pendulum Monster from your Extra Deck to your hand with ATK less than or equal to the damage you took.
Monster Effect : Once per turn, when battle damage is inflicted: You can target 1 face-up monster your opponent controls; it loses ATK equal to that battle damage. When this card is destroyed by battle, or if this card in its owner's Monster Zone is destroyed by an opponent's card effect: You can Set 1 "Abyss Script" Spell Card directly from your Deck.


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#8: Abyss Script – Rise of the Abyss King

While Opening Ceremony and Fire Dragon's Lair somehow made the Top 10 last week, Abyss Script – Rise of the Abyss King emerged from the weekend as the top selling Abyss Actor card. As a staple three-of that offers huge payoffs for fielding multiple Abyss Actors, it makes a lot more sense than what we saw last week. It's a must-run in pretty much every build, and it's one of those cards that let really let you guage the current level of interest in the theme.

 Abyss Script - Rise of the Abyss King
$2.50
$0.83
$0.30
Abyss Script - Rise of the Abyss King125283
Set Destiny Soldiers
Number DESO-EN027
Type Normal Spell Card
Attribute SPELL 
Rarity Secret Rare
Card Text

Target face-up cards on the field, up to the number of Attack Position "Abyss Actor" monsters with different names you control; destroy them. If you control a Level 7 or higher "Abyss Actor" monster, your opponent cannot activate cards or effects in response to this card's activation. If this Set card in its owner's control is destroyed by an opponent's card effect, and you have a face-up "Abyss Actor" Pendulum Monster in your Extra Deck: You can add up to 2 "Abyss Actor" cards and/or "Abyss Script" Spell Cards with different names from your Deck to your hand.


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#7: Left Arm Offering

Looking ahead to Raging Tempest in February, the upcoming spell card The Grass Is Always Tastier On The Other Side has sparked huge tournament success for Infernoids over in the OCG. Infernoid duelists play 60-card decks running three copies of Other Side to mill massive numbers of cards, and they run three Left Arm Offering to make sure they see it reliably.

Left Arm's seen a little Top 8 experimentation here in TCG territories, but the card's really going to shine come February 10th. That said, players are already stocking up in advance, and that's kept the card above the $5 mark. If demand continues like this we could easily see it climb to the double digits.

 Left Arm Offering
$16.13
$8.81
$4.77
Left Arm Offering116963
Set Millennium Pack
Number MIL1-EN015
Type Spell Card
Attribute SPELL 
Rarity Super Rare
Card Text

f you have 2 or more other cards in your hand: Banish your entire hand; add 1 Spell Card from your Deck to your hand. You cannot Set Spell/Trap Cards during the turn you activate this card.


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DragonsDenIndiana 1st Edition - Near Mint 2 $5.70
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#6: SPYRAL Master Plan

It's unclear why SPYRAL cards saw such interest this week, but SPYRAL Master Plan was just one of two different SPYRAL cards that drummed up big sales. Master Plan's popularity was especially surprising since the most successful build of the deck on record – Bryan Serio's 9th Place build that we looked at a month ago – didn't run it.

 SPYRAL Master Plan
$1.49
$0.26
$0.04
SPYRAL Master Plan124804
Set Invasion: Vengeance
Number INOV-EN087
Level 7
Type Effect Monster
Monster Spellcaster
Attribute DARK 
A / D 1200 / 2800
Rarity Super Rare
Card Text

Once per turn: You can add 1 "SPYRAL MISSION" card from your Deck to your hand. If this card is sent from the field to the Graveyard: You can add 1 "SPYRAL Resort" and 1 "SPYRAL" monster from your Deck to your hand, except "SPYRAL Master Plan". You can only use this effect of "SPYRAL Master Plan" once per turn.


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Kirwan's Game Store 1st Edition - Near Mint 9 $0.05

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#5: Metalfoes Mithrilium

Metalfoes are one of the biggest decks-to-beat in the current format, and Metalfoes Mithrilium has become the three-of poster boy for the theme. Interest in the deck remains strong, especially coming off Billy Brake's win with Metalfoes at YCS Bochum, and thus Mithriliums were sold in bushels all weekend long.

 Metalfoes Mithrilium
$14.25
$3.09
$1.66
Metalfoes Mithrilium124738
Set Invasion: Vengeance
Number INOV-EN040
Level 6
Type Fusion/Effect Monster
Monster Psychic
Attribute FIRE 
A / D 2600 / 1000
Rarity Ultra Rare
Card Text

1 "Metalfoes" monster + 1 Pendulum Monster
You can target 2 "Metalfoes" cards in your Graveyard and 1 card on the field; shuffle the targets from your Graveyard into the Deck, and if you do, return the target on the field to the hand. You can only use this effect of "Metalfoes Mithrilium" once per turn. If this card is sent from the field to the Graveyard: You can Special Summon 1 "Metalfoes" Pendulum Monster from your Graveyard or face-up from your Extra Deck.


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#4: SPYRAL Resort

Bryan Serio's SPYRAL build largely skipped all the new cards from Invasion: Vengeance, except this one: the tremendous search and protection card, SPYRAL Resort. Shielding your buffed SPYRAL Super Agent from your opponent's targeted effects, Resort searches the combo pieces you need to go off, secures the investments you make, and even recycles Speedroid Taketomborg back into your deck for repeated abuse with Speedroid Terrortop.

It's an amazing card and if SPYRALs are going to do anything moving forward, you better believe three copies of SPYRAL Resort are gonna be involved. But what drove SPYRALs all the way to Number 4 over the weekend? Still a bit tricky to figure out.

 SPYRAL Resort
$1.69
$0.43
$0.13
SPYRAL Resort124806
Set Invasion: Vengeance
Number INOV-EN089
Type Field Spell Card
Attribute SPELL 
Rarity Super Rare
Card Text

Your opponent cannot target other "SPYRAL" cards you control with card effects. Once per turn: You can add 1 "SPYRAL" monster from your Deck to your hand. Once per turn, during your End Phase, sh


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The Wizards Duel 1st Edition - Near Mint 1 $0.23
The Sweet Spot 1st Edition - Near Mint 2 $0.24
Magic City Gathering 1st Edition - Near Mint 5 $0.25

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#3: Bujintei Kagutsuchi

Kagutsuchi's seen some recent experimentation in TCG Lightsworn decks, where its ability to mill five cards gives it sort of a Minerva feel. But more than that, the card's emerged as a popular pick for Zoodiac Infernoid decks in the OCG, where it's made by overlaying cards like Zoodiac Marmorat and Zoodiac Thoroughblade.

Kagutsuchi was only ever printed in ­Shadow Specters and the 2014 Mega-Tin Mega-Pack, and while supply is now running pretty low, we're not quite at the sellout point yet for the Ultra Rare copies. However, the Ultimate Rare will currently set you back ten bucks or more, and the remaining Ultras could be gone with one strong push from a speculator. A lot of would-be Zoodiac Infernoid players were clearly covering their interests this weekend, and some speculators were probably stocking up as well.

 Bujintei Kagutsuchi (UTR)
$10.00
$5.67
$4.65
Bujintei Kagutsuchi (UTR)72459
Set Shadow Specters
Number SHSP-EN053
Level 4
Type Xyz/Effect Monster
Monster Beast-Warrior
Attribute LIGHT 
A / D 2500 / 2000
Rarity Ultimate Rare
Card Text

2 Level 4 Beast-Warrior-Type monsters
When this card is Xyz Summoned: Send the top 5 cards of your Deck to the Graveyard (or your entire Deck, if less than 5), also this card gains 100 ATK for each "Bujin" card sent to the Graveyard by this effect. If a "Bujin" Beast-Warrior-Type monster(s) you control would be destroyed by battle or by card effect, you can detach 1 Xyz Material from this card instead of destroying 1 of those monsters. You can only control 1 "Bujintei Kagutsuchi".


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#2: Return of the Dragon Lords

The mighty Return of the Dragon Lords was the top-selling card from Rise of the True Dragons for weeks, and it re-emerged this week making it all the way to the Number 2 spot. Is it the upcoming Dark Side of Dimensions movie, or the Movie Pack Gold Edition Rekindling hype for Blue-Eyes? Could it have something to do with anticipation for the Eidolon theme, or a fan-driven response to the holiday season as well as all the recent Blue-Eyes merch released in Japan?

It's probably all of that, as well as a mix of other factors pushing Return so high up the charts. But supply Rebounded quickly, and while Return of the Dragon Lords is still about $5 a pop, it's on a downward Price Trend. It should remain accessible over the coming weeks.

 Return of the Dragon Lords
$8.47
$7.38
$6.61
Return of the Dragon Lords120313
Set Structure Deck: Rise of the True Dragons
Number SR02-EN025
Type Spell Card
Attribute SPELL 
Rarity Super Rare
Card Text

Target 1 Level 7 or 8 Dragon-Type monster in your Graveyard; Special Summon it. If a Dragon-Type monster(s) you control would be destroyed by battle or card effect, you can banish this card from your Graveyard instead.


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#1: Darklord Rebellion

Finally, Darklord Rebellion was a tremendous niche pick for a select group of buyers who saw this as the perfect time to stock up. It's an interesting turn of events, since Rebellion was largely played as a singleton in the few Regional-topping Darklord decks we saw right after the release of Destiny Soldiers. The deck's failed to manifest results since; its performance seems to have peaked with Steve Silverman's Top 32 finish at YCS Anaheim.

Is this a function of hype for some sort of Darklord Nurse Reficule strategy? Would that deck even play it? (Probably not.) The sudden spike in interest is odd, and it was spread across a significant number of buyers. This wasn't just one madman on a mission.

 Darklord Rebellion
$4.99
$0.50
$0.30
Darklord Rebellion125292
Set Destiny Soldiers
Number DESO-EN036
Type Normal Trap Card
Attribute TRAP 
Rarity Secret Rare
Card Text

Send 1 "Darklord" monster from your hand or face-up from your field to the Graveyard; destroy 1 card on the field. You can only activate 1 "Darklord Rebellion" per turn.


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wickedcomics 1st Edition - Near Mint 1 $0.40

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That's it for today! The weekend's sales trends demonstrated some anticipation for upcoming cards and releases, but raised about as many questions as they gave answers. Definitely a strange weekend in the TCGplayer marketplace. What do YOU think of the weekend's bestsellers?

-Jason Grabher-Meyer


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